Hannover 96: Selecting the starting eleven with the Football Efficiency Monitoring System

Hannover 96 drew the match against FC Erzgebirge Aue on April 22nd 2017. This draw could turn out to be very costly for Hannover 96 if it means that they are not promoted directly back to the Erste Bundesliga after having been regulated this season to the Zweite Bundesliga. Would it have made a difference if Hannover 96 had used the Football Efficiency Monitoring System for selecting the starting eleven and substitutes? One can never know for certain, but we can use  football efficiency to see where there were different choices.

Miiko Albornoz

The left-back of Hannover 96, Albornoz, had quite a low overall football efficiency coming into this match today. Nevertheless, in his new role that emphasises defense more than attack, his overall football efficiency was increasing once more after the low point of less than 1% overall football efficiency in the draw against St. Pauli on March 18th 2017. Furthermore, Hannover 96 doesn’t have any alternative for Albornoz to play left-back. Albornoz started this match with a overall football efficiency of 21.18% which is low and a chance to disappoint of 24.81% which is mediocre.

Here is the chart of Albornoz of his efficiencies during the match:

As you can see, during the match Albornoz increased his football efficiency right till the last fifteen minutes when he started to attack more. In the final minute he left the left-back position and was drawn to the center. This gave an attacker of Aue the possibility of shooting on goal and scoring the equalizer which lost Hannover 96 two points. Because Hannover 96 doesn’t have an alternative for the left-back position in the first team and it is likely that Albornoz did not execute his task properly, the Football Efficiency Monitoring System would not have made a difference in selecting the starting eleven of Hannover 96 today.

But the Football Efficiency Monitoring System would have made a difference here during the season. The Football Efficiency Monitoring System would have indicated the importance for Hannover 96 to find an alternative for Albornoz, either during the transfer period or in the second team.

Sebastian Maier & Iver Fossum

Maier started with an overall football efficiency of 59.18% which is mediocre. Maier started with a 20.93% chance to disappoint which is also mediocre. After a good start Maier’s overall football efficiency started to drop which was also noticed by the manager of Hannover 96, André Breitenreiter. So Breitenreiter substituted Maier for Fossum. Fossum did an excellent job as a substitute which shows that this was a good substitution. Nevertheless, Fossum’s overall football efficiency before the match was 98.41% which is high and he had a 2.13% chance to disappoint which is low. In other words, the Football Efficiency Monitoring System would have suggested to start with Fossum rather than Maier.

Here are the charts for Maier and Fossum:

Edgar Prib & Felix Klaus

Prib was substituted with Klaus. Which is a bit awkward as the most likely substitute of Albornoz would be Prib. So as an alternative one might also have substituted Albornoz for Klaus and move Prib to play left-back. Prib started the match with an overall football efficiency of 73.18% which is good and a chance to disappoint of 10.09% which is also good. Before the match Klaus had an overall football efficiency of 2.64% which is very low and a 30.64% chance to disappoint which is a bit high. In other words, starting with Prib rather than Klaus is a good decision.

Here are the charts of Prib and Klaus:

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