Moneyball players

A Moneyball player is a player who has the following three characteristics:

  1. He has a high efficiency.
  2. He has a low chance to disappoint (Surprisal Rate).
  3. He is undervalued.

The Football Efficiency Monitoring System valuation model demonstrates that 50% of all players are correctly valued in the public eye. 30% of the player are overvalued. And most importantly 20% of the player are undervalued. In almost all cases where the public valuation is considerably lower than the valuation of the Football Efficiency Monitoring System, you see that over time (mostly a period of a couple of months) the public valuation is creeping towards our valuation. In other words, when you use the  Football Efficiency Monitoring System you have correct valuations of players long before these valuations become common knowledge. For that reason: act fast when you want to take advantage of the players listed below. Please note that because we don’t have the current capacity to analyze all professional matches worldwide (as is our goal) always analyze at least the three most recent matches with the Football Efficiency Monitoring System before making a decision on a player.

Here is the chart of the #1 Moneyball player at this moment:
#1 Moneyball player in the premier league

Here is the top #20 chart of May 2017 of Moneyball players in our database of 1700+ football players:

Competition Position Age Overall Attack Defense Passing Surprisal Games Public valuation Our valuation
Premier League Defender 24 93% 49% 93% 73% 3.81% 5 £5.000k £25.000k
Serie A Midfielder 25 67% 65% 92% 5% 9.36% 5 £25.000k £42.000k
Premier League Striker 28 98% 89% 97% 23% 8.82% 4 £15.000k £30.000k
Serie A Midfielder 27 98% 1% 94% 75% 4.45% 4 £17.000k £30.000k
Serie A Midfielder 26 98% 23% 99% 7% 3.23% 4 £25.000k £33.000k
Seria A Midfielder 33 99% 99% 99% 44% 8.22% 4 £5.000k £16.000k
Premier League Defender 26 99% 1% 99% 53% 6.63% 4 £10.000k £16.000k
Bundesliga Striker 29 97% 99% 92% 1% 9.86% 7 £1,700K £5.000k
Jupiler Pro Defender 23 99% 1% 99% 73% 4.63% 5 £3.500k £5.000k
Eredivisie Midfielder 23 99% 2% 99% 28% 5.63% 4 £1,700K £3.500k
Eredivise Midfielder 28 70% 6% 93% 39% 6.75% 4 £750k £1.750k
Serie A Goalkeeper 39 94% 1% 96% 74% 2.13% 4 £1,700K £4.000k
Eredivisie Striker 28 76% 82% 82% 38% 5.31% 5 £2.250k £3.250k
Bundesliga Defender 21 97% 9% 99% 92% 0.94% 7 £1,250K £2,450K
Eredivisie Defender 21 90% 1% 99% 1% 4.18% 10 £1,700K £2,700K
Premiership Midfielder 25 99% 40% 99% 18% 8.39% 4 £1,250K £2,250K
Bundesliga Midfielder 20 98% 84% 79% 24% 2.13% 4 £1,250K £2,250K
Eredivisie Defender 25 98% 81% 95% 66% 1.41% 4 £450k £1.400k
Eredivisie Defender 25 99% 61% 99% 57% 1.36% 6 £500k £1.000k
Eredivisie Defender 17 65% 8% 58% 34% 7.34% 6 £850k £1,250K

If you want to know who these 20 players are, the easiest way is to to take a monthly subscription to our database. When you do you also get all the data for the 1700+ other players we analyzed. If one of these player is transferred to your club, you have earned back this investment many times over. When you want to know more, please fill in the form below:

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